Safety Evaluation of Change in Posted Speed Limit from 65 to 70 mph on Rural Virginia Interstate System

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Safety Evaluation of Change in Posted Speed Limit from 65 to 70 mph on Rural Virginia Interstate System

Himes, Scott / Gross, Frank / Nichols, Michael / Lockwood, Mena

Effective July 1, 2010, the Virginia Department of Transportation (VDOT) increased the maximum posted speed limit on interstates and similar facilities from 65 to 70 mph, if recommended following an engineering study. As a result, VDOT performed engineering studies on selected rural interstates posted at 65 mph. By November 2010, VDOT had increased the speed limit from 65 to 70 mph for approximately 670 centerline miles of select rural interstates. This paper presents the results of an empirical Bayes before–after study into the safety and operational effects of the speed limit increase. The analysis focused on total, injury, run-off-road, and truck-related crashes. Comparison segments were used to develop annual adjustment factors, account for regional differences, and identify underlying crash trends in the period before the speed limit increase. At the aggregate level, the results indicated no increase in any of the focus crash types after the increase. Focusing on sites without other changes, the increased speed limit did not increase or decrease any of the crash types. The disaggregate analysis provided further insight into the circumstances in which the change in posted speed limit had more and less pronounced impacts; specifically, that segment type (base or interchange) influenced safety: interchange segments observed statistically significant increases in total, run-off-road, and truck-related crashes. The disaggregate analysis also showed that roadway improvements may help to offset the safety impact of increasing the posted speed limit.