Frequency and aircraft size dynamics in a concentrated growth market: The case of the Chinese domestic market

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Frequency and aircraft size dynamics in a concentrated growth market: The case of the Chinese domestic market

Wang, Kun / Gong, Qiang / Fu, Xiaowen / Fan, Xingli

Abstract Despite the explosive growth of the Chinese aviation sector and the major industry reforms undertaken in recent decades, the Chinese domestic market remains highly concentrated with a significant element of regulation and governmental control in areas such as market entry and airline fleet planning. In this study, we investigate the frequency strategies and aircraft choices of airlines operating in this concentrated growth market. Our empirical investigation suggests that airlines mainly accommodate rapid traffic growth by flying more frequently, although increased aircraft size also contributes to market expansion. We also find a negative relationship between market concentration and flight frequency. Due to the more balanced market structure resulting from mergers among leading airlines since 2002, there has been a moderate reduction in market concentration at route level, contributing to a 3.7% increase in traffic volume from 2002 to 2008. The results of our study suggest that Chinese travelers have yet to fully enjoy the benefits of market liberalization, and airports should prioritize increasing capacity related to aircraft movements over the accommodation of larger aircraft.

Highlights • We investigate airlines' frequency strategies and aircraft size choices in China. • Chinese airlines mainly accommodate rapid traffic growth by increasing frequency. • There is a negative relationship between market concentration and flight frequency. • Minimum passenger traffic increase is attributed to reduction in concentration.