The invention provides a prediction method and a device for traffic travel data in a short period, computer equipment and a storage medium, relates to the technical field of traffic travel, and is used for improving the prediction accuracy of the traffic travel data in the short period. The method mainly comprises the steps that acquiring historical traffic travel data sequence, wherein the historical traffic travel data sequence comprises historical traffic travel data arranged according to a time sequence, and each piece of historical traffic travel data comprises the number of operation times, the passenger seat rate and the number of seats corresponding to a preset traffic travel mode; calculating a first sequence corresponding to the historical transportation data sequence according to the time sequence of the historical transportation data; determining a time window starting point according to the first sequence and the date subscripts of the historical transportation data; and carrying out autoregression calculation on the historical traffic travel data from the starting point of the time window to the current time point to obtain predicted values corresponding to the operation times, the passenger seat rate and the seat number respectively.
本申请提供了一种短周期内交通出行数据的预测方法、装置、计算机设备及存储介质,涉及交通出行技术领域,用于提高短周期内交通出行数据的预测准确度。方法主要包括:获取所述历史交通出行数据序列,所述历史交通出行数据序列中包括按照时间顺序排列的历史交通出行数据,每个所述历史交通出行数据包括预置交通出行方式对应的运行次数、客座率、座位数;根据历史交通出行数据的时间顺序计算所述历史交通出行数据序列对应的第一序列;根据所述第一序列以及所述历史交通出行数据的日期下标确定时间窗起点;对所述时间窗起点至当前时间点的历史交通出行数据进行自回归计算,得到所述运行次数、所述客座率、所述座位数分别对应的预测值。
Method and device for predicting traffic travel data in short period
短周期内交通出行数据的预测方法及装置
2020-10-02
Patent
Elektronische Ressource
Chinesisch
IPC: | G08G Anlagen zur Steuerung, Regelung oder Überwachung des Verkehrs , TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS / G06Q Datenverarbeitungssysteme oder -verfahren, besonders angepasst an verwaltungstechnische, geschäftliche, finanzielle oder betriebswirtschaftliche Zwecke, sowie an geschäftsbezogene Überwachungs- oder Voraussagezwecke , DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES |
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