Do plug-in hybrid adopters switch to battery electric vehicles (and vice versa)?

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Do plug-in hybrid adopters switch to battery electric vehicles (and vice versa)?

Lee, Jae Hyun / Cho, Minyoung / Tal, Gil / Hardman, Scott

Highlights • We investigate battery electric vehicle (BEV) and plug-in hybrid (PHEV) adopter replacement choices. • Most BEV buyers replace a with BEV with a newer BEV. • PHEV adopter choices are split between BEVs, PHEVs, and conventionally fuelled cars. • Replacement choices are correlated with various factors including vehicle attributes, demographics, and travel behaviour.

Abstract Plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) adopters, which include owners of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), have the choice to replace their vehicle with a BEV, PHEV, or conventional vehicle. These replacement choices are important to consider since they can impact PEV market growth. We investigate factors associated with the choice to replace a BEV or a PHEV with a PHEV, BEV, or conventional vehicle using survey responses from 1,446 PEV adopters. Most BEV adopters’ replacement choices are a newer BEV, for around 1/10th the replacement is a PHEV, and around ¼ replace their BEV with a conventional vehicle. PHEV adopters’ replacement choices are split more evenly between BEVs, PHEVs, or conventional vehicles. Replacement choices are correlated with vehicle attributes (e.g., range), satisfaction with vehicle attributes (e.g., charging convenience), home charging access, gas price, demographics, and attitudes toward technology, the environment and travel.